Number infected doubles every 4/5 days.
People dieing now were infected 4 weeks ago. Work that back from 55,000, halving every 5 days, and that's about 1000 infections at the time.
It also takes about 5 days on average for symptoms to show (tho even at 12 days 1% still haven't shown symptoms)...
this also is a very sobering watch for anyone in the "what's all the fuss about, snowflakes?" camp. recommended.
BBC iPlayer - Our World - Wuhan: Life under Lockdown
I think this is where we are headed. Maybe the second peak, maybe multiple peaks.
All the same, everything we can do now to slow it down we must do. Anything else is just throwing the vulnerable under the bus.
BBC iPlayer - Our World - Wuhan: Life under Lockdown
Watch what the Chinese had to do just to contain one city (and it's still ongoing). Amazing. Huge resources applied to one sealed off city.
It's not possible to do that nationwide in a large less authoritarian state. They know it.
I suspect...
Dear God. UK govt strategy is to do **** all, we take our chances. 80% national infection rate (> 52mm people), 8mm hospitalisations, 320,000 deaths (optimistic end of the spectrum), maybe up to over half a million.
UK coronavirus crisis 'to last until spring 2021 and could see 7.9m...
I think we are taking it too easy. I'm betting there are a big multiple more cases in incubation than positive tests here. We'll know in a couple of weeks, hope I'm wrong.
Be well Karsten.
The issue is not that the President of the US wants access to the drug for the population.
It's that a businessman wants a world exclusive on it.
As for democracy, Hilary got more votes, Trump won because it's a flawed voting system. Same here, the system translated a 44% Tory vote into a 60%...
you got the last runs of the season, skiing is closed in France now and this weekends arrivals are being sent home.
Chaos as 30,000 British tourists told to leave French ski resorts